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Intermittent generation makes storage and demand flexibility more valuable than more generation.

Universe v2 (assumed — this link predates the field)· No stated date on this link
igitur.xyz/b/intermittent-generation-makes-storage-and-demand-16gtsua
FLNC28.6%
TSLA27%
ENPH18.2%
EOSE10.4%
LIT5.8%
SGOV10%
Lead positionConviction, descendingBallastWidths are weights · total 100%

Every holding, and why it is that size

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How concentrated this is

Holdings6
Weighted like4.7 equal ones
LargestFLNC at 28.6%
Half the portfolio2 names
Exposed to the premise90%

Half of this book is 2 names. If they are wrong, the rest will not save it.

28.6%Fluence Energy
Pure-play grid storage integration.
FLNC · Equity · $189.89 · $32B · Storage and flexibility
+×
27%Tesla
Energy storage deployments now grow faster than the car business.
TSLA · Equity · $363.56 · — · Storage and flexibility
+×
18.2%Enphase Energy
Distributed storage and inverters at the household level.
ENPH · Equity · $36.86 · — · Storage and flexibility
+×
10.4%Eos Energy
Non-lithium chemistry; higher risk, different supply chain.
EOSE · Equity · $3.99 · — · Storage and flexibility
+×
5.8%Battery Tech ETF
Basket exposure across chemistry and geography.
LIT · ETF · $71.81 · — · Storage and flexibility
+×
10%0–3 Month Treasury Bill ETF
Cash that still earns while the thesis is early.
SGOV · Treasury · $100.50 · — · Ballast
The case for
Once enough solar and wind sits on a grid, the scarce product stops being energy and becomes the ability to move it in time. Battery costs keep falling and grid-service revenue stacks are only starting to be priced.
The case against
Battery manufacturing is a commodity business with brutal competition. Much of the current revenue depends on subsidy structures that can be legislated away.

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